Thiel Macro LLC

Institutional investor · Portfolio as of Q3 2018

Top Holdings19 positions

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Activity:
SPY
SPY
CALL

STATE STR SPDR S&P 500 ETF T

750,000$218M42.7%———
Decreased
—
SPY
SPY
PUT

STATE STR SPDR S&P 500 ETF T

500,000$145.4M28.5%———
Increased
Unranked
HYG
HYG
PUT

ISHARES TR

350,000$30.3M5.9%———
New
—
IWM
IWM
PUT

ISHARES TR

100,000$16.9M3.3%———
Unchanged
—
IWN
IWN
PUT

ISHARES TR

125,000$16.6M3.3%———
New
—
KBE
KBE
ETF

SPDR SERIES TRUST

330,000$15.4M3.0%$37.48-19.22%
1 qtr
New
81
OIH
OIH
ETF

VANECK VECTORS ETF TR

572,500$14.4M2.8%$448.85-1.08%
7 qtrssince 2017-Q1
Decreased
0
GREK
GREK
CALL

GLOBAL X FDS

1.5M$12.8M2.5%———
Increased
—
QQQ
QQQ
CALL

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

68,500$12.7M2.5%———
Decreased
—
AMLP
AMLP
ETF

ALERIAN MLP ETF

550,000$5.9M1.1%$22.76+18.49%
3 qtrssince 2018-Q1
Unchanged
0
GDXJ
GDXJ
ETF

VANECK ETF TRUST

175,000$4.8M0.9%$29.11-15.31%
3 qtrssince 2018-Q1
Decreased
0
OIH
OIH
CALL

VANECK VECTORS ETF TR

170,000$4.3M0.8%———
Decreased
—
GREK
GREK
ETF

GLOBAL X FDS

440,003$3.6M0.7%$21.58-9.20%
2 qtrssince 2018-Q2
Decreased
0
AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

1,500$3M0.6%$100.150.00%
1 qtr
New
54
EWC
EWC
PUT

ISHARES INC

100,000$2.9M0.6%———
Unchanged
—
KRE
KRE
ETF

SPDR SERIES TRUST

32,500$1.9M0.4%$47.68-20.71%
1 qtr
New
46
EEM
EEM
PUT

ISHARES TR

27,500$1.2M0.2%———
New
—
EWW
EWW
ETF

ISHARES INC

10,000$512,0000.1%$40.92-18.86%
1 qtr
New
43
WFC

Wells Fargo & Company

5,000$263,0000.1%$42.00-11.62%
1 qtr
New
35
$510.8M
AUM
19
Positions
Q3 2018
Filing
HI rating · 1.0/5
Quarterly 13F Value Change
Reported 13F value ($M)
Reported 13F values and quarter-over-quarter reported value changes; not investment returns.
QuarterReported value in US dollarsReported value change
2018-Q1$749,305,00025.6396799421%
2018-Q2$862,558,00015.1144060162%
2018-Q3$510,795,000-40.7813735424%
Activity profile
$ moved · Q3'18
New9%Increased17%Decreased37%Exited36%
Composition
Equity vs derivatives
Equity10%Puts42%Calls49%
Holding period
Avg 1.2 years
<1Q21%1-4Q21%1-2Y42%2Y+16%

Thiel Macro LLC manages $510.8M across 19 positions as of Q3 2018. Top holdings: SPY calls (42.7%), SPY puts (28.5%), HYG puts (5.9%). Fund DNA: Momentum Trader. HoldingsIntel Score: 1/5.0.

Q3 2018 Summary

Added KBE, AMZN, KRE and 2 more; exited QQQ and Proshares Tr II; trimmed 3, led by OIH (−77,500 shares). Top move: KBE (NEW, conviction 81). Portfolio: $511M across 19 positions.

Top holdings by portfolio weight

Total AUM$50M
KBE3.01%
OIH2.82%
AMLP1.15%
GDXJ0.94%
GREK0.71%
AMZN0.59%
KRE0.38%
EWW0.10%
WFC0.05%
PROSHARES TR0.00%

Portfolio allocation by GICS sector

Sectors3
Unknown93.44%
Consumer Cyclical6.03%
Financial Services0.53%

Behavioral investing profile

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Momentum Trader- primarily Unknown
Compare DNA across all funds
7-dimension, SEC 13F-derived research score
Weak(1.0 / 5.0)
Holdings P&L26
Conviction71
Concentration100
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Position Outcomes

Best and worst performing positions by estimated return

Cost basis estimates based on full filing history using quarter-end prices. Actual transaction prices are not disclosed in 13F filings.

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Accumulation Streaks

Positions with 2+ consecutive quarters of increases - persistent directional conviction.

No active accumulation streaks detected for this filer.

Streaks require 2+ consecutive quarters of increased positions in the most recent period.

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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 13F filings. Not financial advice. Full disclaimer

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